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Bali United vs Borneo

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
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Match Events

21' Event
Yachida T.
Assist: Kopitovic B.
46'
Sub
Cleylton In: Kaio Nunes
Out: Cleylton
46'
Sub
Sihran M. In: Teguh K.
Out: Sihran M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Bali United and Borneo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Bali United
15%
Draws
37%
Borneo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Bali United haven't matched Borneo's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Bali United taking it.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bali United Clean Sheet 12%
Borneo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United Borneo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.96
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
0:1
Jan 28, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
3:2
Aug 27, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
2:0
May 30, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Yachida T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 35 / 100
Borneo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United Borneo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bali United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Borneo has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Bali United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS Borneo
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
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Borneo

(Away)
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)