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Stadium Background

Bali United vs Borneo

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Yachida T.
Assist: Kopitovic B.
46'
Sub
Cleylton In: Kaio Nunes
Out: Cleylton
46'
Sub
Sihran M. In: Teguh K.
Out: Sihran M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Bali United and Borneo finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bali United
11%
Draws
80%
Borneo
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bali United haven't matched Borneo's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Borneo taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bali United Clean Sheet 10%
Borneo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United Borneo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 22
Draws 7 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 2.13 2.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
0:1
Jan 28, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
3:2
Aug 27, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
2:0
May 30, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Yachida T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Villa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 10 / 100
Borneo 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United Borneo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Bali United scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Borneo has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Bali United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS Borneo
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
17 May
Bali United
4 : 1
FC Bhayangkara
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Madura United
2 : 0
Bali United
27 Apr
Bali United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
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Borneo

(Away)
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Malut United
17 May
Persijap Jepara
0 : 0
Borneo
11 May
Bali United
2 : 3
Borneo
05 May
Borneo
2 : 0
Persita
29 Apr
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Borneo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Persib Bandung34247359:2279
2Borneo34254574:3179
3Persija Jakarta34225765:2971
4Persebaya341610861:3558
5FC Bhayangkara341651353:4553
6Malut United341581168:5353
7Dewa United341651344:3753
8Bali United341491157:4851
9Arema FC341391253:4748
10Persita341361538:3745
11PSIM Yogyakarta3411121143:4445
12Persik Kediri341161742:6139
13Persijap Jepara34991631:4536
14Madura United34981737:5435
15PSM Makassar348101639:4934
16Persis Solo348101639:5934
17Semen Padang34552422:6520
18PSBS Biak Numfor34462431:9518
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
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