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Bali United vs PSM Makassar

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League 2025/2026 Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
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Match Events

4'
Fernandes Y.
17' Event
Campos D.
Assist: Arjuna R.
20'
Sub
Dethan V. In: Raehan A.
Out: Dethan V.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Bali United and PSM Makassar finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bali United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Bali United
20%
Draws
20%
PSM Makassar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bali United come out ahead of PSM Makassar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bali United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Bali United Clean Sheet 20%
PSM Makassar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United PSM Makassar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.73 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs PSM Makassar
2:0
Jan 9, 2026 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:2
Apr 25, 2025 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:1
Dec 7, 2024 Super League
Bali United vs PSM Makassar
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 Super League
PSM Makassar vs Bali United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaya I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

PSM Makassar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 85 / 100
PSM Makassar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United PSM Makassar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSM Makassar has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Bali United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: PSM Makassar registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS PSM Makassar
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
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PSM Makassar

(Away)
19 Sept
PSM Makassar
2 : 2
Persita
13 Sept
PSM Makassar
3 : 3
Arema FC
06 Sept
Persib Bandung
3 : 1
PSM Makassar
23 May
Madura United
2 : 0
PSM Makassar
17 May
PSM Makassar
1 : 2
Persib Bandung
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 34 24 7 3 59:22 79
2 Borneo 34 25 4 5 74:31 79
3 Persija Jakarta 34 22 5 7 65:29 71
4 Persebaya 34 16 10 8 61:35 58
5 FC Bhayangkara 34 16 5 13 53:45 53
6 Java United 34 15 8 11 68:53 53
7 Dewa United 34 16 5 13 44:37 53
8 Bali United 34 14 9 11 57:48 51
9 Arema FC 34 13 9 12 53:47 48
10 Persita 34 13 6 15 38:37 45
11 PSIM Yogyakarta 34 11 12 11 43:44 45
12 Persik Kediri 34 11 6 17 42:61 39
13 Persijap Jepara 34 9 9 16 31:45 36
14 Madura United 34 9 8 17 37:54 35
15 PSM Makassar 34 8 10 16 39:49 34
16 Persis Solo 34 8 10 16 39:59 34
17 Semen Padang 34 5 5 24 22:65 20
18 PSBS Biak Numfor 34 4 6 24 31:95 18
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)