Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bali United vs PSS Sleman

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Kapten I Wayan Dipta Stadium, Gianyar
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Yachida T.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Kurniawan K. In: Gomes K.
Out: Kurniawan K.
54'
Bagayoko M.

AI Match Summary

Bali United in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bali United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Bali United
15%
Draws
28%
PSS Sleman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSS Sleman lately — more wins on the board than Bali United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Bali United Clean Sheet 18%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bali United PSS Sleman
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs PSS Sleman
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Bali United
1:2
Sep 16, 2024 Super League
Bali United vs PSS Sleman
0:0
Nov 3, 2023 Super League
PSS Sleman vs Bali United
0:1
Jul 1, 2023 Super League
Bali United vs PSS Sleman
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bali United Compare

Top Goalscorer Queven
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Lorenzen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bali United 31 / 100
PSS Sleman 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bali United PSS Sleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bali United scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: PSS Sleman conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: PSS Sleman registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bali United VS PSS Sleman
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bali United

(Home)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
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PSS Sleman

(Away)
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3
Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)