Sport Picks
Balikesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu
Turkey
3. Lig Group 4 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu, Balikesir 
Match Events
20'
20'
Boz E.
23'
23'
Arican A.
(Penalty)
47'
47'
Sevik M.
AI Match Summary
Ayvalikgucu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayvalikgucu.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikesirspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ayvalikgucu lately — more wins on the board than Balikesirspor.
- Model gives Balikesirspor a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 14%
Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikesirspor | Ayvalikgucu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 19 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 4
Balikesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 4
Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor
1:0
May 22, 1994 1. Lig
Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor
2:1
Apr 3, 1994 1. Lig
Balikesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu
2:0
Nov 14, 1993 1. Lig
Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikesirspor Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Ayvalikgucu Compare
Top Goalscorer Boz E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sevik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikesirspor 35 / 100
Ayvalikgucu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikesirspor Ayvalikgucu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Balikesirspor's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ayvalikgucu has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Balikesirspor stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Balikesirspor VS Ayvalikgucu
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikesirspor
(Home) 27 Sept
Eskisehirspor
7 : 1 Balikesirspor
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
13 Sept
Alanya 1221
0 : 3 Balikesirspor
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
28 Apr
Eskisehirspor
3 : 0 Balikesirspor
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu
06 Sept
Balikesirspor
4 : 1 Bucaspor 1928
24 Apr
Balikesirspor
2 : 1 Eskisehirspor
12 Apr
Balikesirspor
1 : 1 Eskisehirspor
29 Mar
Balikesirspor
1 : 2 Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 3
Ayvalikgucu
(Away) 26 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
2 : 1 Bigaspor
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0 Ayvalikgucu
12 Sept
Ayvalikgucu
4 : 1 Kepez Bld.
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3 Ayvalikgucu
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2 52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Eskisehir Anadolu
3 : 0 Ayvalikgucu
06 Sept
Gaziemir Spor Kulubu
0 : 3 Ayvalikgucu
08 May
Eskisehirspor
0 : 0 Ayvalikgucu
28 Apr
Karsiyaka
0 : 2 Ayvalikgucu
12 Apr
Eskisehir Anadolu
0 : 0 Ayvalikgucu
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kutahyaspor | 30 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 69:18 | 75 |
| 2 | Eskisehirspor | 30 | 22 | 5 | 3 | 74:18 | 71 |
| 3 | Karsiyaka | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 64:19 | 67 |
| 4 | Ayvalikgucu | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Balikesirspor | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 59:24 | 58 |
| 6 | Usak Belediyespor Kulubu | 30 | 15 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 48 |
| 7 | Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 37:33 | 47 |
| 8 | Alanya 1221 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 28:33 | 38 |
| 9 | Tire 2021 FK | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 47:39 | 37 |
| 10 | Soke 1970 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 39:43 | 35 |
| 11 | Eskisehir Anadolu | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 44:42 | 35 |
| 12 | Altay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 29:41 | 28 |
| 13 | Izmir Coruhlu | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 28:66 | 23 |
| 14 | Afyonspor | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 31:61 | 22 |
| 15 | Bornova 1877 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 35:68 | 21 |
| 16 | Nazillispor | 30 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 7:118 | 4 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
