Sport Picks

Turkey

3. Lig Group 4 Balikesir Ataturk Stadyumu

Balikesirspor

1 - 2

Ayvalikgucu

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Boz E.

23'

Arican A.

(Penalty)

47'

Sevik M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ayvalikgucu in this 3. Lig Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ayvalikgucu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Balikesirspor

Draws

90%

Ayvalikgucu

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ayvalikgucu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Ayvalikgucu lately — more wins on the board than Balikesirspor.
Model gives Ayvalikgucu a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular 3. Lig Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Balikesirspor Clean Sheet 21%

Ayvalikgucu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Balikesirspor	Ayvalikgucu
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	19
Draws	6	5
Losses	6	6
Goals Scored	2.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	0.63	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 3. Lig Group 4

Balikesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu

Possession: 56% - 49% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Dec 7, 2025 3. Lig Group 4

Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor

Possession: 51% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

May 22, 1994 1. Lig

Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Apr 3, 1994 1. Lig

Balikesirspor vs Ayvalikgucu

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Nov 14, 1993 1. Lig

Ayvalikgucu vs Balikesirspor

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikesirspor Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Ayvalikgucu Compare

Top Goalscorer Boz E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Sevik M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikesirspor 10 / 100

Ayvalikgucu 95 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Balikesirspor Ayvalikgucu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AYV Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikesirspor's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Balikesirspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ayvalikgucu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Balikesirspor VS Ayvalikgucu

2.63 Goals Scored 1.63

0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kutahyaspor	30	24	3	3	69:18	75
2	Eskisehirspor	30	22	5	3	74:18	71
3	Karsiyaka	30	20	7	3	64:19	67
4	Ayvalikgucu	30	18	5	7	59:27	59
5	Balikesirspor	30	17	7	6	59:24	58
6	Usak Belediyespor Kulubu	30	15	3	12	35:35	48
7	Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu	30	14	5	11	37:33	47
8	Alanya 1221	30	10	8	12	28:33	38
9	Tire 2021 FK	30	10	7	13	47:39	37
10	Soke 1970	30	10	5	15	39:43	35
11	Eskisehir Anadolu	30	9	8	13	44:42	35
12	Altay	30	9	7	14	29:41	28
13	Izmir Coruhlu	30	6	5	19	28:66	23
14	Afyonspor	30	5	7	18	31:61	22
15	Bornova 1877	30	5	6	19	35:68	21
16	Nazillispor	30	0	4	26	7:118	4