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Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Stadion Batakan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balikpapan play Persipura Jayapura in the Championship. Persipura Jayapura are favorites here. Recently, Balikpapan averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Persipura Jayapura averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Balikpapan won 1, Persipura Jayapura won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for Balikpapan and 1.81 for Persipura Jayapura. This points to a Persipura Jayapura double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Balikpapan
20%
Draws
60%
Persipura Jayapura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Persipura Jayapura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Balikpapan picked up more points recently compared to Persipura Jayapura.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 11%
Persipura Jayapura Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikpapan Persipura Jayapura
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 19
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
0:1
Jan 12, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:0
Nov 18, 2023 Championship
Balikpapan vs Persipura Jayapura
3:1
Sep 22, 2023 Championship
Persipura Jayapura vs Balikpapan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikpapan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Persipura Jayapura Compare

Top Goalscorer Solossa B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikpapan 20 / 100
Persipura Jayapura 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikpapan Persipura Jayapura

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persipura Jayapura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Persipura Jayapura & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +66.6%
8.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Balikpapan attacking → ← attacking Persipura Jayapura

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balikpapan scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Persipura Jayapura let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Balikpapan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Persipura Jayapura lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 62
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907