Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Aryanto F.
46'
Sub
Gomes K. In: Alfarid S.
Out: Gomes K.
50'
Vieri R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Balikpapan
30%
Draws
41%
PSS Sleman
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PSS Sleman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to PSS Sleman lately — more wins on the board than Balikpapan.
  • PSS Sleman are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • PSS Sleman have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 10%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balikpapan PSS Sleman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 0.86 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:1
Nov 12, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:2
Sep 15, 2025 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Balikpapan
2:1
Sep 20, 2018 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Balikpapan
1:0
Jul 5, 2018 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balikpapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmad A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

PSS Sleman Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tocantins
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balikpapan 26 / 100
PSS Sleman 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balikpapan PSS Sleman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSS Sleman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSS Sleman let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Balikpapan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Balikpapan's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Balikpapan VS PSS Sleman
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balikpapan

(Home)
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2
Balikpapan
03 May
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 1
Balikpapan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Apr
PS Barito Putera
3 : 3
Balikpapan
12 Apr
Tornado Pekanbaru
3 : 0
Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6

PSS Sleman

(Away)
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0
PSIS Semarang
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1
PSS Sleman
20 Apr
PSS Sleman
2 : 1
Persiku Kudus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)