Sport Picks
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan 
Match Events
21'
21'
Injai F.
21'
21'
Habibi
23'
23'
Dion D.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Balikpapan and PSS Sleman finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSS Sleman.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balikpapan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Balikpapan haven't matched PSS Sleman's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSS Sleman here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Balikpapan Clean Sheet 14%
PSS Sleman Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Balikpapan | PSS Sleman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:1
Nov 12, 2025 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:2
Sep 15, 2025 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Balikpapan
2:1
Sep 20, 2018 Championship
PSS Sleman vs Balikpapan
1:0
Jul 5, 2018 Championship
Balikpapan vs PSS Sleman
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Balikpapan Compare
Top Goalscorer Nishihara T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
PSS Sleman Compare
Top Goalscorer Gustavo Tocantins
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Balikpapan 35 / 100
PSS Sleman 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Balikpapan PSS Sleman
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSS Sleman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSS Sleman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
PSS Sleman lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Balikpapan scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Balikpapan VS PSS Sleman
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Balikpapan
(Home) 04 Oct
Deltras Sidoarjo
2 : 0 Balikpapan
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
13 Sept
RANS Nusantara
3 : 2 Balikpapan
08 May
Persekat Tegal
1 : 2 Balikpapan
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Dejan
19 Sept
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persela Lamongan
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Apr
Balikpapan
0 : 1 Persipura Jayapura
01 Mar
Balikpapan
0 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 3
PSS Sleman
(Away) 20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
12 Sept
PSS Sleman
1 : 3 Madura United
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3 Garudayaksa
03 May
PSS Sleman
3 : 0 PSIS Semarang
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1 PSS Sleman
26 Apr
Balikpapan
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
11 Apr
PS Barito Putera
1 : 0 PSS Sleman
29 Mar
Tornado Pekanbaru
1 : 1 PSS Sleman
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
