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Balkan Belogradchik vs Gorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Third League - North-West 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Balkan Belogradchik
30%
Draws
70%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Balkan Belogradchik haven't matched Gorna's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gorna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Balkan Belogradchik Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Belogradchik Gorna
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 2 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.97 0.88
Goals Conceded 3.44 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2013 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Gorna
0:1
Oct 14, 2012 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Balkan Belogradchik
1:1
Apr 13, 2012 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Gorna
1:1
Sep 25, 2011 Third League - North-West
Gorna vs Balkan Belogradchik
0:0
Mar 9, 2011 Third League - North-West
Balkan Belogradchik vs Gorna
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Belogradchik 10 / 100
Gorna 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Belogradchik Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gorna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Belogradchik found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (34 games).

Gorna let in goals in 74% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gorna
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan Belogradchik

(Home)
02 Jun
Sitomir
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
26 May
Balkan Belogradchik
3 : 5
Partizan Cerven Brjag
19 May
Tryavna
3 : 0
Balkan Belogradchik
10 May
Balkan Belogradchik
0 : 1
Gorna
03 May
Dunav Selanovtsi
5 : 1
Balkan Belogradchik
Page 1 of 7

Gorna

(Away)
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
15 Sept
Gorna
1 : 1
Nesebar
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Pleven 30 27 2 1 111:10 83
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 30 28 1 1 102:21 79
3 Parva Atomna 30 19 4 7 78:24 61
4 Akademik Svishtov 30 18 4 8 65:34 58
5 Dunav Selanovtsi 30 16 7 7 49:22 55
6 Torpedo Borovan 30 17 4 9 62:43 55
7 Belene 30 13 7 10 43:34 46
8 Partizan Cerven Brjag 30 12 5 13 45:63 41
9 Gorna 30 10 7 13 34:31 37
10 Sitomir 30 11 3 16 42:80 36
11 Tryavna 30 7 8 15 33:60 29
12 Botev Krivodol 28 7 2 19 22:54 23
13 Yantra Gabrovo 29 7 2 20 20:60 23
14 Balkan Belogradchik 30 5 5 20 24:83 20
15 OFK Levski 30 5 2 23 29:85 17
16 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 29 2 5 22 13:68 11
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)