Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Balkan Botevgrad

3 - 3

Bansko

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Balkan Botevgrad and Bansko finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Balkan Botevgrad

33%

Draws

27%

Bansko

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Bansko haven't matched Balkan Botevgrad's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Balkan Botevgrad's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 16%

Bansko Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Balkan Botevgrad	Bansko
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	10
Draws	9	10
Losses	9	10
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Third League - South-West

Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Nov 15, 2025 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Bansko

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

3:3

Apr 2, 2025 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Bansko

Possession: 52% - 41% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-West

Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 2 - 4

1:1

Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West

Bansko vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 4 - 0

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 39 / 100

Bansko 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Balkan Botevgrad Bansko

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bansko conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Balkan Botevgrad remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Bansko

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38