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Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Balkan Botevgrad host CSKA Sofia III in the Third League - South-West. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Balkan Botevgrad have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against CSKA Sofia III's 1.19 scored and 0.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Balkan Botevgrad slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 0.81, favoring Balkan Botevgrad. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Balkan Botevgrad
30%
Draws
37%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Balkan Botevgrad lately — more wins on the board than CSKA Sofia III.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Botevgrad CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:4
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs CSKA Sofia III
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Balkan Botevgrad
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 28 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Botevgrad CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Balkan Botevgrad has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

CSKA Sofia III has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS CSKA Sofia III
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Balkan Botevgrad

(Home)
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
03 Oct
Balkan Botevgrad
0 : 3
Fratria
26 Sept
Kostinbrod
0 : 1
Balkan Botevgrad
19 Sept
Balkan Botevgrad
2 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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