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Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Balkan Botevgrad host Pirin Razlog in the Third League - South-West. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Balkan Botevgrad at 1.38 goals for, 1.5 against; Pirin Razlog at 1.25 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Balkan Botevgrad have won 2 to Pirin Razlog's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 22, 2025, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.38, favoring Balkan Botevgrad. Balkan Botevgrad in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Balkan Botevgrad
22%
Draws
18%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Pirin Razlog has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Balkan Botevgrad.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Balkan Botevgrad.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 17%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balkan Botevgrad Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
1:1
Aug 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
2:0
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Balkan Botevgrad
4:0
Mar 23, 2024 Third League - South-West
Balkan Botevgrad vs Pirin Razlog
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 57 / 100
Pirin Razlog 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balkan Botevgrad Pirin Razlog

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pirin Razlog let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Balkan Botevgrad went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pirin Razlog lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Pirin Razlog
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238