Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026

Balkan Botevgrad

1 - 2

Strumska Slava

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Balkan Botevgrad and Strumska Slava finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Strumska Slava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Balkan Botevgrad

17%

Draws

13%

Strumska Slava

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Balkan Botevgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Strumska Slava carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Balkan Botevgrad's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Balkan Botevgrad Clean Sheet 16%

Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Balkan Botevgrad	Strumska Slava
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	17
Draws	9	5
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2026 Third League - South-West

Balkan Botevgrad vs Strumska Slava

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-West

Strumska Slava vs Balkan Botevgrad

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balkan Botevgrad 66 / 100

Strumska Slava 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Balkan Botevgrad Strumska Slava

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balkan Botevgrad's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Strumska Slava has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Balkan Botevgrad has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Balkan Botevgrad VS Strumska Slava

1.38 Goals Scored 1.5

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38