Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Korzeniowski S.
46'
46'
Robles D.
90'
90'
Korzeniowski S.
AI Match Summary
Ballard in this USL League Two 2023 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
56%
20%
24%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballard
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- New Mexico U23 haven't matched Ballard's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Ballard's way, sitting at 90%.
- Ballard have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ballard Clean Sheet 20%
New Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballard | New Mexico U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 23 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.77 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 22, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs New Mexico U23
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballard Compare
Top Goalscorer Korzeniowski S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Robles D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
New Mexico U23 Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballard 85 / 100
New Mexico U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballard New Mexico U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ballard scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: New Mexico U23 conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Ballard went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballard VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballard
(Home) 24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2 Ventura
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3 Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1 Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0 Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4 Ballard
Page 1 of 7
24 Jul
Ballard
1 : 2 Ventura
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3 Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1 Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0 Snohomish United
05 Jul
Ballard
7 : 0 Tacoma Stars
Page 1 of 4
New Mexico U23
(Away) 09 Jul
New Mexico U23
0 : 2 Albion Colorado
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1 New Mexico U23
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2 New Mexico U23
28 Jun
Utah United
2 : 2 New Mexico U23
16 Jun
Flatirons
2 : 1 New Mexico U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1 New Mexico U23
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2 New Mexico U23
28 Jun
Utah United
2 : 2 New Mexico U23
16 Jun
Flatirons
2 : 1 New Mexico U23
02 Jun
CISA
0 : 3 New Mexico U23
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 2
Western Pioneers 1
Lionsbridge 1
Charlotte Eagles 0
Seacoast United Phantoms 1
Hudson Valley 2
Long Island 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
South Carolina United Bantams 1
Asheville City 4
Weston 1
Texas United 2
Nona 1
Little Rock Rangers 2
AHFC Royals 0
Chicago City 5
Cleveland Force 1
Fort Wayne 2
Flint City 3
Thunder Bay Chill 5
Ann Arbor 3
Menace 3
RKC SC 1
Park City 0
FC Olympia 4
Ballard 3
New Mexico U23 0
Redlands United FC 1
San Francisco Glens SC 2
Ventura 1
Monterey Bay 2 0
1/8-finals
North Carolina Fusion U23 1
Lionsbridge 3
Hudson Valley 1
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 1
Asheville City 0
Texas United 0
Little Rock Rangers 2
Chicago City 0
Flint City 2
Thunder Bay Chill 2
Menace 3
FC Olympia 0
Ballard 3
San Francisco Glens SC 1
Ventura 4
Quarter-finals
Lionsbridge 4
Ocean City 2
Brave SC 2
Little Rock Rangers 1
Flint City 2
Menace 0
Ballard 4
Ventura 3
Semi-finals
Lionsbridge 2
Brave SC 1
Flint City 0
Ballard 1
Final
Lionsbridge 1
Ballard 2
