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Ballard vs Portland (Capital) U23

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USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Ballard and Portland (Capital) U23 finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballard
6%
Draws
4%
Portland (Capital) U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballard carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ballard a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
Ballard Clean Sheet 68%
Portland (Capital) U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballard Portland (Capital) U23
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 25 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 USL League Two
Ballard vs Portland (Capital) U23
2:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
1:8
Jul 13, 2023 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
1:3
Jul 1, 2023 USL League Two
Ballard vs Portland (Capital) U23
3:2
Jul 10, 2022 USL League Two
Portland (Capital) U23 vs Ballard
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballard 95 / 100
Portland (Capital) U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballard Portland (Capital) U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballard found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (34 games).

Portland (Capital) U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Ballard went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballard VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballard

(Home)
20 Jul
Ballard
4 : 3
Colorado Storm
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
13 Jul
Ballard
4 : 0
Snohomish United
09 Jul
Bigfoot
0 : 4
Ballard
05 Jul
Ballard
7 : 0
Tacoma Stars
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Portland (Capital) U23

(Away)
14 Jul
Midlakes United
1 : 0
Portland (Capital) U23
10 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 1
Lane United FC
07 Jul
Tacoma Stars
3 : 2
Portland (Capital) U23
06 Jul
Portland (Capital) U23
2 : 3
United PDX
04 Jul
Lane United FC
0 : 1
Portland (Capital) U23
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