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Ballinamallard vs Dundela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship 2025/2026 game between Ballinamallard and Dundela finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ballinamallard
35%
Draws
32%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballinamallard come out ahead of Dundela on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Dundela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 8 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:2
Feb 14, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ballinamallard
1:4
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Ballinamallard
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Dundela
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 38 / 100
Dundela 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dundela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Ballinamallard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ballinamallard found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Dundela
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
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Dundela

(Away)
03 Oct
Dundela
0 : 2
Queens University
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
05 Sept
Dundela
3 : 2
Glenavon
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