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Ballinamallard vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Ballinamallard and Newry City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newry City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ballinamallard
35%
Draws
28%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Newry City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ballinamallard a 37% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 12%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard Newry City
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Newry City
0:1
Apr 1, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Ballinamallard
3:0
Mar 8, 2025 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Newry City
1:1
Dec 26, 2024 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Newry City
2:1
Aug 27, 2024 NIFL Championship
Newry City vs Ballinamallard
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 47 / 100
Newry City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ballinamallard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ballinamallard scored in 45% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS Newry City
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

Newry City

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)