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Ballinamallard vs PSNI - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Tumelty T.
12' Event
Campbell R.
26' Event
Brown C.

AI Match Summary

Ballinamallard in this NIFL Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 6-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballinamallard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ballinamallard
20%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballinamallard have won more games recently than PSNI.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ballinamallard have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 19%
PSNI Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballinamallard PSNI
Matches Played 35 26
Wins 10 4
Draws 9 0
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.43 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.37 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2020 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs PSNI
6:4
Nov 23, 2019 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs PSNI
5:0
Oct 5, 2019 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Ballinamallard
0:4
Jan 5, 2019 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs PSNI
5:1
Dec 4, 2018 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs PSNI
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballinamallard Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell R.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Arkinson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

PSNI Compare

Top Goalscorer Tumelty T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brown C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballinamallard 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballinamallard PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PSNI let in goals in 96% of their last 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: PSNI registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ballinamallard has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ballinamallard VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballinamallard

(Home)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portadown 31 20 6 5 72:30 66
2 Ballinamallard 30 19 3 8 71:34 60
3 Loughgall 31 18 4 9 64:45 58
4 Ards 31 16 6 9 68:44 54
5 Newry City 30 15 6 9 55:32 51
6 Dundela 31 13 7 11 43:49 46
7 Ballyclare 30 11 7 12 53:49 40
8 Harland & Wolff 31 10 5 16 52:63 35
9 Queens University 31 11 1 19 59:69 34
10 Dergview 30 8 5 17 38:54 29
11 Knockbreda 30 7 4 19 36:84 25
12 PSNI 30 7 2 21 40:98 23
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2020/2021 (Main)