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Ballyclare vs Lisburn Distillery - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Withers J.
57' Event
Akobeto E.
59' Event
Leetch M.

AI Match Summary

Ballyclare in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ballyclare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ballyclare
15%
Draws
85%
Lisburn Distillery
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisburn Distillery

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballyclare haven't matched Lisburn Distillery's recent run of results.
  • Lisburn Distillery are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ballyclare here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ballyclare Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Distillery Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballyclare Lisburn Distillery
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 1
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.44 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.13 3.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Ballyclare vs Lisburn Distillery
4:1
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballyclare
1:3
Mar 19, 2016 NIFL Championship
Ballyclare vs Lisburn Distillery
4:1
Aug 12, 2015 NIFL Championship
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballyclare
1:1
Jan 31, 2015 NIFL Championship
Lisburn Distillery vs Ballyclare
2:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballyclare Compare

Top Goalscorer Withers J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akobeto E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Lisburn Distillery Compare

Top Goalscorer Glackin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.95
Avg xA / game 1.19

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballyclare 10 / 100
Lisburn Distillery 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballyclare Lisburn Distillery

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisburn Distillery Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lisburn Distillery conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Ballyclare scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Lisburn Distillery's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballyclare VS Lisburn Distillery
1.63 Goals Scored 2.67
1.63 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballyclare

(Home)
01 Aug
Ballyclare
1 : 8
Carrick Rangers
28 Jul
Queens University
4 : 1
Ballyclare
18 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 4
Loughgall
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
04 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 3
Portadown
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Lisburn Distillery

(Away)
13 Jan
Warrenpoint
4 : 3
Lisburn Distillery
22 Nov
Lisburn Distillery
4 : 2
Finaghy FC
07 Oct
Bangor FC
4 : 1
Lisburn Distillery
12 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
3 : 2
Banbridge
22 Jul
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 2
Harland & Wolff
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