Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Murphy E.
42'
42'
Nolan D.
(Penalty)
67'
67'
Henderson D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Ballyfermot advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballyfermot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ballyfermot come out ahead of Leeds Cork on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Ballyfermot taking it.
- Ballyfermot have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballyfermot, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ballyfermot Clean Sheet 68%
Leeds Cork Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballyfermot | Leeds Cork |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 5 |
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 21, 2024 FAI Cup
Ballyfermot vs Leeds Cork
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballyfermot Compare
Top Goalscorer Henderson D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Leeds Cork Compare
Top Goalscorer Murphy E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballyfermot 95 / 100
Leeds Cork 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballyfermot Leeds Cork
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballyfermot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Leeds Cork conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Ballyfermot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Leeds Cork registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballyfermot VS Leeds Cork
1.2 Goals Scored 0.8
1 Goals Conceded 2
60% Over 1.5 80%
60% Over 2.5 60%
20% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballyfermot
(Home) 18 Jul
Ballyfermot
0 : 1 Ballymena
16 Aug
Ballyfermot
0 : 3 Wexford
30 Jul
Ballyfermot
0 : 0 Southend
21 Jul
Ballyfermot
3 : 1 Leeds Cork
19 May
Ballyfermot
3 : 0 Rockmount
18 Jul
Ballyfermot
0 : 1 Ballymena
16 Aug
Ballyfermot
0 : 3 Wexford
30 Jul
Ballyfermot
0 : 0 Southend
21 Jul
Ballyfermot
3 : 1 Leeds Cork
19 May
Ballyfermot
3 : 0 Rockmount
Leeds Cork
(Away) 21 Jul
Ballyfermot
3 : 1 Leeds Cork
11 Aug
Maynooth University
2 : 0 Leeds Cork
21 Apr
Leeds Cork
3 : 1 St. Michaels
25 Jul
Leeds Cork
0 : 3 Longford
27 Jul
Finn Harps
1 : 0 Leeds Cork
21 Jul
Ballyfermot
3 : 1 Leeds Cork
11 Aug
Maynooth University
2 : 0 Leeds Cork
27 Jul
Finn Harps
1 : 0 Leeds Cork
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
College Corinthians 4
Cobh Wanderers 5
Maynooth University 1
Gorey Rangers 4
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Kerry -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Waterford -
TBD -
Cockhill 7
Ayrfield United 1
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Ringmahon Rangers -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Wilton United 1
Glebe North 0
TBD -
Carrigaline Utd -
Ballyfermot 3
Rockmount 0
TBD -
Leeds Cork -
Wayside Celtic 2
Collinstown 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Treaty United -
TBD -
TBD -
Kilbarrack Utd -
Pike Rovers 2
Villa FC 1
Midleton 3
St Francis 0
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 3
Cobh Wanderers 0
Gorey Rangers 0
UC Dublin 4
Cobh Ramblers 0
Kerry 2
Bohemians 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 1
Finn Harps 0
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 1
Galway United 6
Longford 0
Waterford 2
Cockhill 1
Athlone 1
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Dundalk 1
Wilton United 2
Carrigaline Utd 1
Ballyfermot 3
Leeds Cork 1
Wayside Celtic 1
Wexford 3
Treaty United 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Pike Rovers 3
Midleton 1
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 0
UC Dublin 2
Kerry 2
Bohemians 3
Cork City 0
Derry City 1
Shelbourne 2
Galway United 1
Waterford 2
Athlone 3
Drogheda 9
Wilton United 0
Ballyfermot 0
Wexford 3
Treaty United 7
Pike Rovers 0
Quarter-finals
UC Dublin 0
Bohemians 4
Derry City 2
Shelbourne 0
Athlone 1
Drogheda 4
Wexford 4
Treaty United 1
Semi-finals
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
Drogheda 3
Wexford 2
Final
Derry City 0
Drogheda 2
