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Ballymacash vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Harkin A.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Holder A.
78' Event
Igiehon B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Ballinamallard advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Ballymacash
30%
Draws
62%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymacash come out ahead of Ballinamallard on wins alone.
  • Ballinamallard are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Ballymacash have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballinamallard, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ballymacash Clean Sheet 13%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymacash Ballinamallard
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 8
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.71 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.64
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2025 Irish Cup
Ballymacash vs Ballinamallard
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymacash Compare

Top Goalscorer Igiehon B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Ballinamallard Compare

Top Goalscorer Holder A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymacash 10 / 100
Ballinamallard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymacash Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymacash found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Ballinamallard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ballymacash has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ballymacash VS Ballinamallard
1.2 Goals Scored 0.88
2.4 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
60% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymacash

(Home)
25 Jul
Annagh
5 : 2
Ballymacash
18 Jul
Ballymacash
2 : 3
Greystones United
15 Jul
Ards Rangers
1 : 1
Ballymacash
11 Jul
Ballymacash
1 : 2
Newington FC
11 Jul
Ballymacash
0 : 1
Dunmurry Rec
Page 1 of 7

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Knockbreda 3
Banbridge 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Banbridge Rangers 2
Queens University 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Moyola 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Lurgan Town Boys 0
Dollingstown 1
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Linfield -
TBD -
Wellington Rec -
Dergview -
Islandmagee 0
Ballymacash 4
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 3
Limavady 1
Larne 0
Cliftonville 4
Banbridge Rangers 0
Glenavon 2
Dundela 0
Belfast Celtic 0
Moyola 1
Ballymena 1
Ards 2
Dollingstown 1
Ballyclare 0
Institute 2
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 2
Newington FC 1
Annagh 3
Portadown 2
Harland & Wolff 2
Glentoran 4
Linfield 4
Wellington Rec 0
Ballymacash 1
Ballinamallard 2
Carrick Rangers 4
Newry City 3
Dungannon 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Coleraine 5
Armagh 0
1/8-finals
Crusaders 1
Limavady 0
Cliftonville 3
Glenavon 2
Moyola 1
Ards 3
Dollingstown 0
Loughgall 3
Bangor FC 3
Annagh 0
Glentoran 2
Linfield 1
Ballinamallard 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Dungannon 2
Coleraine 1
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 2
Ards 2
Loughgall 0
Bangor FC 3
Glentoran 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Dungannon 3
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Ards 0
Bangor FC 0
Dungannon 2
Final
Cliftonville 1
Dungannon 2