Sport Picks
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup 2025/2026 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena 
Match Events
38'
38'
McNickle R.
AI Match Summary
Ballymena in this Irish League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ballymena lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
- Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ballymena have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 13%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Ballinamallard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
1:0
Feb 29, 2020 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Ballymena
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Ballinamallard vs Ballymena
1:2
Mar 26, 2018 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
2:0
Feb 3, 2018 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer McNickle R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ballinamallard Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 40 / 100
Ballinamallard 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Ballinamallard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Ballinamallard let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Ballymena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Ballinamallard
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0 Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1 Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2 Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2 Ballymena
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0 Portadown
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1 Carrick Rangers
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Ballinamallard
(Away) 26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1 Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6 Ballinamallard
29 Aug
Ballinamallard
1 : 3 Annagh
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3 Ballinamallard
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6 Ballinamallard
15 Aug
Moyola
2 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
