Sport Picks
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
Northern Ireland
Irish League Cup Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena 
Match Events
38'
38'
McNickle R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
35%
20%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballymena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ballymena lately — more wins on the board than Ballinamallard.
- Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ballymena have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | Ballinamallard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.78 | 0.66 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2025 Irish League Cup
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
1:0
Feb 29, 2020 Irish Cup
Ballinamallard vs Ballymena
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Club Friendly
Ballinamallard vs Ballymena
1:2
Mar 26, 2018 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
2:0
Feb 3, 2018 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Ballinamallard
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer McNickle R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89
Ballinamallard Compare
Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.37
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 95 / 100
Ballinamallard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena Ballinamallard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ballymena's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Ballymena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Ballinamallard let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS Ballinamallard
3 Goals Scored 0.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
100% Over 1.5 29%
75% Over 2.5 29%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3 Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1 Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2 Ballymena
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5 Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3 Ballymena
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
15 Apr
Ballymena
0 : 0 Bangor FC
07 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 1 Glenavon
Page 1 of 3
Ballinamallard
(Away) 11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2 Ballinamallard
08 Aug
Ballinamallard
0 : 1 Newry City
31 Jul
Ballinamallard
1 : 2 Bangor FC
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2 Ballinamallard
18 Jul
Crusaders
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Jul
Limavady
0 : 0 Ballinamallard
11 Apr
Institute
3 : 0 Ballinamallard
21 Mar
Newington FC
4 : 0 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Ballymacash 5
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Ballyclare 1
Coagh Utd 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane Athletic -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Moyola 5
Portstewart 3
TBD -
Annagh -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Newry City 3
Knockbreda 0
TBD -
Portadown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dergview 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Larne -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 2
1/16-finals
Institute 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 3
Ballymacash 1
Cliftonville 4
Coagh Utd 1
Loughgall 2
Strabane Athletic 3
Ards 1
Dungannon 2
Moyola 3
Annagh 0
Dollingstown 0
Coleraine 8
Armagh 3
Carrick Rangers 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 0
Warrenpoint 0
Glenavon 2
Harland & Wolff 6
Dundela 0
Linfield 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 1
Ballinamallard 0
Newington FC 3
Limavady 1
Dergview 3
Larne 7
Bangor FC 4
Lisburn Distillery 1
1/8-finals
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Cliftonville 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 0
Moyola 1
Coleraine 7
Armagh 1
Newry City 1
Glenavon 0
Harland & Wolff 3
Linfield 6
Ballymena 3
Newington FC 0
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Cliftonville 1
Moyola 0
Coleraine 2
Newry City 2
Linfield 3
Ballymena 2
Larne 0
Semi-finals
Glentoran 2
Coleraine 1
Linfield 1
Ballymena 0
Final
Glentoran 0
Linfield 1
