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Ballymena vs Bangor FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ballymena host Bangor FC in the NIFL Premiership. Little to choose between these two on current form. Bangor FC have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Ballymena have conceded 1.28 and scored 2. Past meetings favor Ballymena slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Ballymena. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Ballymena
15%
Draws
7%
Bangor FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Bangor FC haven't matched Ballymena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 20%
Bangor FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Bangor FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 2 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Ballymena
2:2
Apr 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Bangor FC
0:0
Dec 30, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Ballymena
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Bangor FC vs Ballymena
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Bangor FC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 85 / 100
Bangor FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Bangor FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bangor FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Bangor FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
20 Oct
Newington FC
1 : 3
Ballymena
17 Oct
Ballymena
2 : 1
Crusaders
10 Oct
Limavady
3 : 2
Ballymena
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

Bangor FC

(Away)
20 Oct
Bangor FC
1 : 2
Dungannon
17 Oct
Bangor FC
0 : 0
Dungannon
10 Oct
Linfield
2 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Oct
Bangor FC
2 : 3
Coleraine
26 Sept
Crusaders
2 : 1
Bangor FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coleraine 12 10 1 1 26:12 31
2 Linfield 12 9 2 1 18:9 29
3 Glentoran 12 6 2 4 16:10 20
4 Larne 9 6 1 2 18:8 19
5 Carrick Rangers 12 5 2 5 21:19 17
6 Ballymena 11 4 3 4 17:15 15
7 Crusaders 12 5 0 7 16:23 15
8 Dungannon 11 4 2 5 11:14 14
9 Cliftonville 12 4 0 8 13:15 12
10 Limavady 11 4 0 7 11:17 12
11 Portadown 12 2 2 8 10:21 8
12 Bangor FC 12 1 3 8 10:24 6
Promotion - NIFL Premiership (Championship Group)
Relegation - NIFL Premiership (Relegation Group)