Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena

Ballymena

2 - 0

Crumlin Star

Our Tip

Match Events

66'

Carville D.

90'

Friel C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Irish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%

Ballymena

20%

Draws

60%

Crumlin Star

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crumlin Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Crumlin Star lately — more wins on the board than Ballymena.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Ballymena Clean Sheet 20%

Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ballymena	Crumlin Star
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	14	21
Draws	11	0
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.91	2.43
Goals Conceded	1.18	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.79	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2020 Irish Cup

Ballymena vs Crumlin Star

2:0

Jan 10, 2015 Irish Cup

Ballymena vs Crumlin Star

4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Carville D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Friel C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.38

Avg xA / game 0.9

Crumlin Star Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 32 / 100

Crumlin Star 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ballymena Crumlin Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Crumlin Star conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Crumlin Star lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS -

2.38 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)

15 Sept

Ballymena

1 : 1

Carrick Rangers

11 Sept

Coleraine

3 : 2

Ballymena

05 Sept

Bangor FC

2 : 2

Ballymena

21 Aug

Ballymena

0 : 2

Glentoran

15 Aug

Crusaders

2 : 1

Ballymena

Page 1 of 7

Crumlin Star

(Away)

06 Jan

Institute

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

25 Dec

Crumlin Star

2 : 3

Comber Rec

25 Nov

Crumlin Star

2 : 0

Limavady

04 Jan

Ballymena

2 : 0

Crumlin Star

30 Nov

Coagh Utd

0 : 1

Crumlin Star

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

TBD -

Lower Maze -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Strabane Athletic -

Maiden City 3

Bourneview Mill 2

TBD -

Tullycarnet -

Armagh 7

Bangor Old Boys 0

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Dunloy 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Comber Rec 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Dromara 3

Coagh Utd 6

Crumlin Star 8

Kilmore Rec 0

Desertmartin 1

Trojans 3

Greenisland -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Foundry 3

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dromore Amateurs 1

Belfast Celtic 9

Woodvale 5

Windmill 1

Derriaghy 1

Annagh 4

Tobermore -

TBD -

Barn 0

Oxford Sunnyside 3

Suffolk 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 4

Grove 2

Dungiven 1

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 3

Rosemount Rec 2

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 4

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Iveagh Utd 1

Abbey Villa 1

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 3

St Oliver Plunkett 2

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC -

Drumaness -

Newington FC 5

Cookstown Youth 0

Ardstraw 3

Fivemiletown 2

Ards Rangers 1

Wakehurst 3

Islandmagee -

TBD -

Shorts -

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Ballynure Old Boys 0

TBD -

Immaculata -

Aquinas -

TBD -

Seapatrick 0

Craigavon City 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Saintfield 0

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 2

Malachians 1

Markethill 1

Mossley FC 4

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 3

Cookstown RBL 2

Laurelvale 1

Chimney 5

Richhill -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Valley Rangers -

Hanover -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Rosario Youth 0

Rectory Rangers 0

Downshire Y.M. 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Colin Valley 0

Moyola 11

Crewe -

Donegal -

Bryansburn 1

Crumlin United 3

Shankill -

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Rathfriland Rangers -

TBD -

Sirocco 2

Seagoe 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/128-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 5

Lower Maze 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Strabane Athletic 2

Maiden City 1

Tullycarnet 3

Armagh 2

Dunloy 1

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Tandragee 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7

Comber Rec 2

Coagh Utd 4

Crumlin Star -

Trojans -

Greenisland 2

Foundry 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Portstewart 0

Belfast Celtic 1

Woodvale 1

Annagh 7

Tobermore 7

Oxford Sunnyside 1

Suffolk 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 4

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Newcastle 0

Banbridge 5

Dunmurry Rec 3

Newbuildings 2

Lurgan Town Boys 0

St. James' Swifts 4

Ballymacash 2

Dunmurry Y.M. 1

Ballymoney 2

East Belfast 3

Newtowne FC 0

Newington FC 2

Ardstraw 4

Wakehurst 1

Islandmagee 5

Shorts 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 2

Immaculata 0

Aquinas 2

Craigavon City 1

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 3

Moneyslane FC 9

Mossley FC 0

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Glebe 1

Chimney 2

Richhill 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover -

Oxford Stars -

Killyleagh Youth 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 4

Moyola 3

Crewe 3

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 1

Lisburn Rangers 4

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Seagoe 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/64-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 2

Lisburn Distillery 1

Tullycarnet 4

Armagh 3

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Coagh Utd 3

Crumlin Star 1

Greenisland 0

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 3

Annagh 1

Tobermore 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 2

Dunmurry Rec 1

St. James' Swifts 0

Ballymacash 4

East Belfast 3

Newington FC 0

Ardstraw 1

Islandmagee 2

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 3

Aquinas 0

Bangor FC 5

Moneyslane FC 1

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Chimney 0

Valley Rangers 3

Hanover 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 1

Crumlin United 0

Lisburn Rangers 0

Rathfriland Rangers 3

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/32-finals

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Dergview -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Dollingstown 6

Tullycarnet 0

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Coagh Utd 0

Crumlin Star 1

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Larne -

TBD -

Belfast Celtic 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Glenavon -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Banbridge 3

Ballymacash 2

East Belfast 7

Islandmagee 1

Institute -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Newry City -

TBD -

Limavady 1

Bangor FC 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Valley Rangers 1

Hanover 5

Loughgall -

TBD -

Brantwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Queens University -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Portadown -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Dundela -

1/16-finals

Knockbreda 3

Dergview 2

Ballinamallard 1

Dollingstown 0

Warrenpoint 3

PSNI 1

Ballymena 2

Crumlin Star 0

Ballyclare 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Larne 8

Belfast Celtic 0

Glenavon 0

Coleraine 2

Banbridge 3

East Belfast 2

Institute 2

Dungannon 3

Newry City 3

Bangor FC 1

Cliftonville 6

Hanover 0

Loughgall 1

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Queens University 2

Linfield 1

Glentoran 3

Portadown 2

Ards 1

Carrick Rangers 3

Crusaders 3

Dundela 0

1/8-finals

Knockbreda 2

Ballinamallard 5

Warrenpoint 1

Ballymena 2

Ballyclare 0

Larne 1

Coleraine 3

Banbridge 0

Dungannon 4

Newry City 2

Cliftonville 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Queens University 2

Glentoran 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Crusaders 5

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 0

Ballymena 2

Larne 2

Coleraine 3

Dungannon 1

Cliftonville 2

Glentoran 2

Crusaders 1

Semi-finals

Ballymena 2

Coleraine 1

Cliftonville 1

Glentoran 2

Final

Ballymena 1

Glentoran 2

Ballymena vs Crumlin Star

Northern Ireland

Ballymena

Crumlin Star

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ballymena Compare

Crumlin Star Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

Crumlin Star

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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