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Ballymena vs Derriaghy - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2011/2012
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Own Goal
60' Event
68' Event

AI Match Summary

Ballymena in this Irish Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ballymena
20%
Draws
22%
Derriaghy
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ballymena lately — more wins on the board than Derriaghy.
  • Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%
Derriaghy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Derriaghy
Matches Played 35 22
Wins 16 11
Draws 12 1
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.09 2
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2012 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Derriaghy
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 86 / 100
Derriaghy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Derriaghy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena scored in 91% of their last 35 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Derriaghy let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS -
3 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
03 Oct
Cliftonville
0 : 1
Ballymena
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
Page 1 of 7

Derriaghy

(Away)
25 Nov
Queens University
3 : 2
Derriaghy
17 Aug
Annagh
4 : 1
Derriaghy
18 Aug
Strabane Athletic
2 : 1
Derriaghy
30 Sept
Derriaghy
1 : 2
Shankill
19 Aug
Derriaghy
3 : 1
Bourneview Mill
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Downpatrick 0
Islandmagee 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 4
Sirocco 3
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
Immaculata 2
Crumlin Star 0
TBD -
Banbridge -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Iveagh Utd 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Derriaghy 1
Ballynahinch United 0
TBD -
Queens University -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
Mountjoy 0
Banbridge Rangers 3
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Bangor Old Boys 0
Foundry 1
Ards Rangers 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Dromara 1
Newbuildings 6
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 0
Warrenpoint 1
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Ballinamallard 3
Tobermore 1
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 6
Rathfriland Rangers 1
TBD -
Coleraine -
Donegal -
TBD -
Limavady 0
Institute 2
Ards 3
Annagh 0
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Newington FC 3
Glebe 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Larne 3
PSNI 0
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City 6
Sport & Leisure 1
Immaculata 1
Banbridge 4
Bangor FC 3
Portstewart 0
Iveagh Utd 1
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 2
Queens University 0
Knockbreda 1
Dergview 5
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Coagh Utd 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Chimney 0
Loughgall 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Ards Rangers 2
Armagh 0
Newbuildings 3
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
Moyola 1
Killymoon 3
Ballyclare 2
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders 3
Warrenpoint 0
Portadown 1
Glenavon 2
Ballinamallard 3
Dundela 0
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Coleraine 3
Donegal 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Cliftonville 2
Newington FC 1
Glentoran 0
Larne 1
Dungannon 3
Newry City 1
Banbridge 0
Bangor FC 2
Ballymoney 4
Derriaghy 1
Dergview 0
Lisburn Distillery 1
Ballymena 2
Coagh Utd 4
Loughgall 3
Dunmurry Rec 1
Newbuildings 4
Carrick Rangers 3
Killymoon 1
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 7
1/8-finals
Crusaders 4
Glenavon 0
Ballinamallard 0
Coleraine 3
Donegal 1
Cliftonville 0
Newington FC 0
Dungannon 3
Newry City 6
Ballymoney 1
Derriaghy 1
Ballymena 3
Coagh Utd 5
Newbuildings 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Linfield 5
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 2
Coleraine 0
Donegal 1
Dungannon 2
Newry City 3
Ballymena 0
Coagh Utd 0
Linfield 4
Semi-finals
Crusaders 1
Dungannon 0
Newry City 0
Linfield 7
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 4