Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Glenavon

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Edogun S.
47' Event
Falls C.
56'
McGeouch D.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Ballymena and Glenavon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ballymena
30%
Draws
33%
Glenavon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ballymena carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%
Glenavon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Glenavon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.7 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Glenavon vs Ballymena
1:1
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glenavon
1:1
Feb 24, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Glenavon
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Ballymena
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Glenavon vs Ballymena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Edogun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Glenavon Compare

Top Goalscorer Falls C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 68 / 100
Glenavon 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Glenavon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Glenavon let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Glenavon
2.63 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.86
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1
Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3
Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2
Ballymena
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
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Glenavon

(Away)
15 Aug
Glenavon
4 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Aug
Newry City
1 : 4
Glenavon
08 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 3
Ards
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1
Ballymena
21 Jul
Crusaders
2 : 0
Glenavon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Carrick Rangers 38 15 8 15 64:58 53
8 Portadown 38 13 5 20 44:66 44
9 Ballymena 38 10 9 19 46:58 39
10 Bangor FC 38 10 9 19 41:65 39
11 Crusaders 38 10 6 22 48:81 36
12 Glenavon 38 8 4 26 37:69 28
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)