Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Portadown

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fyfe E.
49' Event
Teelan J.
57'
Sub
McEleney S. In: Mccallion D.
Out: McEleney S.

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Ballymena and Portadown finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portadown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Ballymena
11%
Draws
9%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portadown come out ahead of Ballymena on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 15%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Portadown
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Edogun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Fyfe E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teelan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 75 / 100
Portadown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ballymena stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ballymena scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Portadown's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Portadown
2.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
25 Jul
Portstewart
1 : 5
Ballymena
24 Jul
Carrick Rangers
0 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Dundela
2 : 3
Ballymena
18 Jul
Queens University
1 : 1
Ballymena
11 Jul
Ballyclare
0 : 2
Ballymena
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Portadown

(Away)
25 Jul
Kilbarrack Utd
0 : 3
Portadown
21 Jul
Harland & Wolff
0 : 2
Portadown
18 Jul
Coleraine
3 : 0
Portadown
07 Jul
Bourneview Mill
2 : 2
Portadown
07 Jul
Killyleagh Youth
3 : 2
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
7Carrick Rangers381581564:5853
8Portadown381352044:6644
9Ballymena381091946:5839
10Bangor FC381091941:6539
11Crusaders381062248:8136
12Glenavon38842637:6928
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)