Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Portadown

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Ballymena Logo

Ballymena

1 - 2
FT
Portadown Logo

Portadown

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Fyfe E.
49' Event
Teelan J.
57'
Sub
McEleney S. In: McCallion D.
Out: McEleney S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 game between Ballymena and Portadown finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portadown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Ballymena
35%
Draws
9%
Portadown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymena come out ahead of Portadown on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ballymena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 20%
Portadown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Portadown
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
2:0
Apr 18, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Ballymena vs Portadown
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 NIFL Premiership
Portadown vs Ballymena
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Edogun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Portadown Compare

Top Goalscorer Fyfe E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teelan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 85 / 100
Portadown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Portadown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portadown has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ballymena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Portadown
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymena

(Home)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Dungannon
1 : 1
Ballymena
15 Sept
Ballymena
1 : 1
Carrick Rangers
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Bangor FC
2 : 2
Ballymena
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Portadown

(Away)
26 Sept
Ballymena
2 : 0
Portadown
19 Sept
Bangor FC
3 : 1
Portadown
15 Sept
Portadown
1 : 1
Linfield
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
05 Sept
Cliftonville
3 : 1
Portadown
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Carrick Rangers 38 15 8 15 64:58 53
8 Portadown 38 13 5 20 44:66 44
9 Ballymena 38 10 9 19 46:58 39
10 Bangor FC 38 10 9 19 41:65 39
11 Crusaders 38 10 6 22 48:81 36
12 Glenavon 38 8 4 26 37:69 28
Relegation - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Main)
Promotion - NIFL Premiership 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)