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Stadium Background

Ballymena vs Portstewart

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2021/2022 Ballymena Showgrounds
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Waide R.
47' Event
McElroy P.
55' Event
Place M.

AI Match Summary

The Irish Cup 2021/2022 game between Ballymena and Portstewart finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ballymena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ballymena
6%
Draws
4%
Portstewart
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ballymena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ballymena has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Portstewart.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ballymena.
  • Cup tournament structure in Irish Cup 2021/2022 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 68%
Portstewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymena Portstewart
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Ballymena
1:4
Jul 9, 2022 Club Friendly
Portstewart vs Ballymena
1:4
Feb 15, 2022 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs Portstewart
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymena Compare

Top Goalscorer Waide R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McElroy P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Portstewart Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymena 95 / 100
Portstewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymena Portstewart

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymena scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Portstewart let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Ballymena went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Portstewart lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymena VS Portstewart
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Ballyclare0
Carrick Rangers2
Cliftonville5
Islandmagee0
Coleraine6
Windmill0
Portadown2
Limavady0
Ballinamallard2
Ards Rangers0
Glenavon0
Crusaders4
Knockbreda0
Dungannon2
Harland & Wolff1
Annagh2
Queens University2
Newington FC0
Dergview2
Glentoran3
Warrenpoint1
Newry City2
Ards2
Dundela3
Bangor FC0
Larne5
Linfield4
Oxford Sunnyside0
Ballymena2
Loughgall0
Institute0
Portstewart1
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers0
Cliftonville1
Coleraine2
Portadown0
Ballinamallard0
Crusaders1
Dungannon4
Annagh1
Queens University0
Glentoran4
Newry City1
Ards0
Larne2
Linfield0
Ballymena3
Portstewart0
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville2
Coleraine1
Crusaders4
Dungannon2
Glentoran1
Newry City0
Larne3
Ballymena4
Semi-finals
Cliftonville1
Crusaders2
Newry City0
Ballymena1
Final
Crusaders2
Ballymena1