Sport Picks
Match Events
17'
17'
McCartan S.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Waide R.
59'
59'
Balmer K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 5-0, with Ballymena advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballymena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- PSNI haven't matched Ballymena's recent run of results.
- Ballymena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Ballymena have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ballymena, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ballymena Clean Sheet 19%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ballymena | PSNI |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 4 |
| Draws | 8 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.87 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 3.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 8, 2021 Irish Cup
Ballymena vs PSNI
5:0
Aug 5, 2013 Club Friendly
PSNI vs Ballymena
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ballymena Compare
Top Goalscorer Balmer K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Waide R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
PSNI Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ballymena 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ballymena PSNI
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ballymena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ballymena scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
PSNI let in goals in 96% of their last 25 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
PSNI's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ballymena VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ballymena
(Home) 21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
15 Aug
Crusaders
2 : 1 Ballymena
08 Aug
Linfield
0 : 3 Ballymena
01 Aug
Glenavon
1 : 1 Ballymena
01 Aug
Annagh
2 : 2 Ballymena
Page 1 of 7
21 Aug
Ballymena
0 : 2 Glentoran
04 Jul
Ballymena
1 : 2 Loughgall
04 Jul
Ballymena
6 : 0 Strabane Athletic
18 Apr
Ballymena
1 : 2 Portadown
15 Apr
Ballymena
0 : 0 Bangor FC
Page 1 of 3
PSNI
(Away) 09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7 Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1 Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1 PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0 PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3 PSNI
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1 PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0 PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3 PSNI
08 May
Ballymena
5 : 0 PSNI
27 Apr
Institute
: PSNI
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Larne -
Newry City -
Ards -
Dollingstown -
Carrick Rangers 3
Belfast Celtic 0
Queens University -
Bangor FC -
Glentoran -
Dundela -
Cliftonville 5
Portstewart 1
Knockbreda 2
Newington FC 1
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Institute -
PSNI -
Ballinamallard 2
Dergview 3
Harland & Wolff -
St. James' Swifts -
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 2
Annagh 0
Glenavon 1
Dungannon 2
1/8-finals
Larne 8
Dollingstown 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 1
Cliftonville 0
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 5
Ballymena 5
PSNI 0
Dergview 2
St. James' Swifts 0
Loughgall 1
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Dungannon 2
Quarter-finals
Larne 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 5
Dergview 0
Loughgall 1
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Larne 2
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 0
Linfield 3
Final
Larne 1
Linfield 2
