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Ballymoney vs Ballinamallard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Elding A.
41' Event
Kee D.
53' Event
Feeney S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Ballinamallard advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Ballymoney
20%
Draws
58%
Ballinamallard
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ballinamallard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ballymoney come out ahead of Ballinamallard on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Ballinamallard taking it.
  • Ballymoney have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ballinamallard, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 20%
Ballinamallard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymoney Ballinamallard
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 1 8
Losses 20 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2014 Irish League Cup
Ballymoney vs Ballinamallard
0:5
Mar 12, 2011 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Ballinamallard
2:2
Oct 9, 2010 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Ballymoney
0:1
May 8, 2010 NIFL Championship
Ballinamallard vs Ballymoney
0:1
Nov 21, 2009 NIFL Championship
Ballymoney vs Ballinamallard
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ballymoney Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Ballinamallard Compare

Top Goalscorer Elding A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kee D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymoney 10 / 100
Ballinamallard 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymoney Ballinamallard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ballinamallard Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymoney's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Ballinamallard let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ballymoney stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ballinamallard
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymoney

(Home)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 6

Ballinamallard

(Away)
03 Oct
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Ards
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Harland & Wolff
1 : 3
Ballinamallard
12 Sept
Ballinamallard
1 : 1
Glenavon
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Dollingstown -
TBD -
TBD -
Institute -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Moyola 2
Sport & Leisure 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Tobermore 2
Loughgall 8
PSNI 2
Armagh 1
TBD -
Ards -
Ballyclare 1
Limavady 0
TBD -
Linfield -
Newington FC 2
Banbridge 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Dundela -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Annagh 4
Dergview 2
TBD -
Portadown -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic 1
Glebe 4
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Portstewart 5
Queens University 0
TBD -
Bangor FC -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
Ballymoney 0
Dollingstown 0
Institute 2
Glenavon 3
Lisburn Distillery 1
Moyola 1
Glentoran 2
Dungannon 1
Loughgall 0
PSNI 1
Ards 4
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 0
Newington FC 0
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 6
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 0
Carrick Rangers 3
Knockbreda 4
Donegal 0
Annagh 2
Portadown 5
Crusaders 6
Glebe 1
Larne 0
Coleraine 3
Harland & Wolff 2
Warrenpoint 1
Portstewart 0
Bangor FC 2
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 0
Glenavon 1
Glentoran 5
Dungannon 3
Ards 0
Ballyclare 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Knockbreda 1
Portadown 3
Crusaders 3
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Bangor FC 4
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Glentoran 1
Dungannon 1
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 2
Portadown 0
Crusaders 2
Bangor FC 4
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 2
Ballymena 3
Cliftonville 4
Bangor FC 3
Final
Ballymena 2
Cliftonville 3