Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ballymoney vs Strabane Athletic

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Strabane Athletic advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ballymoney
15%
Draws
49%
Strabane Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Strabane Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Ballymoney haven't matched Strabane Athletic's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Strabane Athletic taking it.
  • Strabane Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Strabane Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 65%
Over 4.5 Goals 29%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Ballymoney Clean Sheet 10%
Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymoney Strabane Athletic
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 1 2
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.37 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2018 Irish Cup
Ballymoney vs Strabane Athletic
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymoney 10 / 100
Strabane Athletic 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymoney Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Strabane Athletic Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymoney's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Strabane Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Strabane Athletic lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ballymoney VS Strabane Athletic
1.33 Goals Scored 2
2.67 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymoney

(Home)
25 Nov
Rosemount Rec
3 : 1
Ballymoney
07 Jan
Newington FC
2 : 1
Ballymoney
28 Sept
Ballymoney
2 : 3
East Belfast
29 Sept
Ballymoney
1 : 5
Strabane Athletic
18 Aug
Rosario Youth
1 : 2
Ballymoney
Page 1 of 6

Strabane Athletic

(Away)
15 Aug
Glenavon
4 : 1
Strabane Athletic
11 Aug
Moyola
1 : 3
Strabane Athletic
07 Aug
Strabane Athletic
0 : 1
Institute
01 Aug
Limavady
1 : 0
Strabane Athletic
18 Jul
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Dungannon
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Carrick Rangers -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
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Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
TBD -
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Drumaness -
Shankill -
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Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
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Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
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Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
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Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
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Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
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Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
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Crewe -
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Loughgall -
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Larne -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
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Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
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Ballyclare -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
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PSNI -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
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TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
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TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
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TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3