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Ballymun Utd vs Killester Donnycarney

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2017
Sun, Apr 30, 2017
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

70' Event
71' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Killester Donnycarney advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ballymun Utd
15%
Draws
57%
Killester Donnycarney
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Killester Donnycarney

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Killester Donnycarney carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ballymun Utd's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Killester Donnycarney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Killester Donnycarney, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ballymun Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ballymun Utd Killester Donnycarney
Matches Played 6 25
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.6
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2017 FAI Cup
Ballymun Utd vs Killester Donnycarney
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ballymun Utd 35 / 100
Killester Donnycarney 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ballymun Utd Killester Donnycarney

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ballymun Utd's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 6 recent games.

Killester Donnycarney has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Killester Donnycarney has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ballymun Utd VS Killester Donnycarney
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ballymun Utd

(Home)
29 Jul
Ballymun Utd
0 : 1
Annagh
30 Apr
Ballymun Utd
1 : 2
Killester Donnycarney
01 Apr
Ballymun Utd
1 : 2
Mayfield Utd
12 Jun
Derry City
6 : 0
Ballymun Utd
31 May
Ballymun Utd
3 : 0
Fanad United
Page 1 of 2

Killester Donnycarney

(Away)
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1
Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7
Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6
Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0
Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1
Firhouse
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin Utd -
Cobh Wanderers 1
Edenderry Town 0
Boyle Celtic 0
Killarney Celtic 1
Evergreen United 3
St. Marys 2
TBD -
Drogheda -
Bluebell Utd -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Sheriff YC 3
UC Dublin -
TBD -
TBD -
Cabinteely -
Shelbourne -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Glenville -
TBD -
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Portmarnock -
Killester Donnycarney 2
Ballymun Utd 1
TBD -
Galway United -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Everton AFC 2
Liffey Wanderers 1
Cherry Orchard 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone -
TBD -
College Corinthians 0
Ballincollig 1
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 0
Wexford 1
Crumlin Utd 2
Cobh Wanderers 3
Killarney Celtic 0
Evergreen United 0
Drogheda 4
Bluebell Utd 3
Sheriff YC 0
UC Dublin 1
Cabinteely 3
Shelbourne 3
Waterford 0
Glenville 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 3
Cobh Ramblers 0
Bohemians 3
Finn Harps 4
St. Patricks 2
Portmarnock 0
Killester Donnycarney 3
Galway United 4
Longford 4
Sligo Rovers 2
Everton AFC 2
Bangor Celtic 3
Athlone 5
Ballincollig 0
Bray 0
Cork City 1
1/8-finals
Dundalk 3
Crumlin Utd 1
Cobh Wanderers 1
Drogheda 5
Bluebell Utd 1
Cabinteely 0
Shelbourne 0
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 1
Finn Harps 0
St. Patricks 0
Galway United 2
Longford 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Athlone 0
Cork City 7
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 4
Drogheda 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Limerick 2
Galway United 1
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Semi-finals
Dundalk 5
Shamrock Rovers 3
Limerick 0
Cork City 1
Final
Dundalk 1
Cork City 2