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Balma vs Aurillac

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CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Balma Logo

Balma

2 - 1
FT
Aurillac Logo

Aurillac

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Balma and Aurillac finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Balma
15%
Draws
51%
Aurillac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aurillac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aurillac carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Balma Clean Sheet 15%
Aurillac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balma Aurillac
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 0.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Balma
0:0
Nov 11, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Aurillac
0:0
May 23, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Aurillac
2:1
Jan 17, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Aurillac vs Balma
3:2
Feb 11, 2007 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Aurillac
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balma 31 / 100
Aurillac 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balma Aurillac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurillac has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Balma's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aurillac's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Balma VS Aurillac
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Balma

(Home)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
Page 1 of 6

Aurillac

(Away)
07 Feb
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 2
Aurillac
06 Jan
Saint-Pryve
3 : 1
Aurillac
09 Dec
La Chapelle
0 : 1
Aurillac
17 Nov
Biars-Bretenoux
2 : 3
Aurillac
06 Dec
Cholet
3 : 0
Aurillac
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)