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Balma vs Lucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Balma Logo

Balma

1 - 3
FT
Lucon Logo

Lucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lucon in this CFA - Group C 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Balma
20%
Draws
16%
Lucon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Lucon have won more games recently than Balma.
  • Model gives Balma a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lucon have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Balma Clean Sheet 10%
Lucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balma Lucon
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 4 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Lucon
0:1
Nov 14, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Balma
1:0
Apr 4, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Balma vs Lucon
1:3
Oct 25, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Balma
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balma 74 / 100
Lucon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balma Lucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balma's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lucon let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Difficult form: Lucon registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Balma VS Lucon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Balma

(Home)
11 Aug
Balma
2 : 2
Bergerac
11 Nov
Balma
0 : 3
Les Herbiers
03 Dec
Balma
0 : 3
Bergerac
12 Nov
Balma
3 : 0
Luc Primaube
15 Nov
Genets
1 : 0
Balma
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Lucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)