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Balmaseda vs Barakaldo

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2020
Balmaseda Logo

Balmaseda

1 - 0
FT
Barakaldo Logo

Barakaldo

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lambarri A.
85'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Balmaseda advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Balmaseda
30%
Draws
19%
Barakaldo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Balmaseda are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Barakaldo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Barakaldo, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda Barakaldo
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Copa Federacion
Balmaseda vs Barakaldo
1:0
Aug 5, 2014 Club Friendly
Balmaseda vs Barakaldo
0:1
Apr 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Barakaldo
1:1
Dec 4, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Barakaldo vs Balmaseda
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balmaseda Compare

Top Goalscorer Lambarri A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Barakaldo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 68 / 100
Barakaldo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda Barakaldo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balmaseda has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Balmaseda's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barakaldo conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Away concern: Barakaldo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barakaldo
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
Page 1 of 6

Barakaldo

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0
Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0
CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1
Barakaldo
30 Aug
Barakaldo
0 : 0
Leonesa
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0
Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Rapido de Bouzas 1
Melilla 4
CD Mostoles 0
Unionistas de Salamanca 1
CD Las Rozas 3
Salamanca CF UDS 1
SD Tenisca 3
Racing Club Ferrol 2
Leioa 1
Caudal Deportivo 0
Langreo 3
Beti Kozkor 0
Balmaseda 1
Barakaldo 0
Arnedo 1
CD Tropezon 3
Som Maresme 2
SD Ejea 1
Ebro 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona 2
Platges de Calvia 2
CF Intercity 1
TBD -
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC -
Murcia 0
Puertollano C.F. 1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 1
Recreativo Huelva 0
Villarrubia 1
CD Utrera 0
Moralo 1
UCAM Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Melilla 3
Unionistas de Salamanca 2
CD Las Rozas 3
SD Tenisca 1
Leioa 2
Langreo 0
Balmaseda 0
CD Tropezon 2
Som Maresme 2
Gimnastic de Tarragona 1
Platges de Calvia 3
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 2
Puertollano C.F. 5
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 2
Villarrubia 0
UCAM Murcia 1
Quarter-finals
Melilla 1
CD Las Rozas 2
Leioa 2
CD Tropezon 1
Som Maresme 3
Platges de Calvia 0
Puertollano C.F. 1
UCAM Murcia 2
Semi-finals
CD Las Rozas 1
Leioa 0
Som Maresme 2
UCAM Murcia 1
Final
CD Las Rozas 1
Som Maresme 2