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Balmaseda vs Santurtzi

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 game between Balmaseda and Santurtzi finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Balmaseda
30%
Draws
19%
Santurtzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Balmaseda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santurtzi come out ahead of Balmaseda on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Balmaseda's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Balmaseda Clean Sheet 68%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balmaseda Santurtzi
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1 0.91
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
1:2
May 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Santurtzi
2:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Balmaseda vs Santurtzi
0:0
Nov 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
0:0
Jan 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Balmaseda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balmaseda 86 / 100
Santurtzi 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balmaseda Santurtzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balmaseda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Balmaseda went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Balmaseda found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Santurtzi has conceded goals in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Santurtzi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Balmaseda

(Home)
12 Jun
CD Ariznabarra
2 : 3
Balmaseda
05 Jun
Balmaseda
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
29 May
Santurtzi
1 : 2
Balmaseda
23 May
Balmaseda
0 : 0
SCD Durango
19 May
Balmaseda
2 : 2
Santurtzi
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Santurtzi

(Away)
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
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