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Balsas vs ITZ Sport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2 2025 game between Balsas and ITZ Sport finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Balsas
20%
Draws
0%
ITZ Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Balsas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ITZ Sport come out ahead of Balsas on wins alone.
  • Balsas are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Balsas Clean Sheet 15%
ITZ Sport Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balsas ITZ Sport
Matches Played 8 24
Wins 0 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Maranhense 2
ITZ Sport vs Balsas
1:0
Sep 17, 2025 Maranhense 2
Balsas vs ITZ Sport
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balsas 84 / 100
ITZ Sport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balsas ITZ Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balsas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ITZ Sport lost 5 of their last 5 games.

ITZ Sport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Balsas found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Balsas VS ITZ Sport
0.67 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
67% Over 1.5 63%
33% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Balsas

(Home)
04 Jul
Cordino EC
2 : 2
Balsas
20 Jun
Balsas
1 : 1
Timon EC (MA)
13 Jun
Balsas
0 : 1
Cordino EC
30 May
Timon EC (MA)
2 : 0
Balsas
27 Sept
ITZ Sport
1 : 0
Balsas
Page 1 of 2

ITZ Sport

(Away)
01 Feb
Sampaio Correa
6 : 0
ITZ Sport
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
21 Jan
Maranhao
1 : 0
ITZ Sport
17 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 1
Imperatriz
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)