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Balsicas Atletico vs Racing Murcia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Vivancos J. M. G.
45'
Es Safaouy A.
51' Event
Patino J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 game between Balsicas Atletico and Racing Murcia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Balsicas Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Balsicas Atletico
15%
Draws
0%
Racing Murcia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Balsicas Atletico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Murcia come out ahead of Balsicas Atletico on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Balsicas Atletico taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Balsicas Atletico Clean Sheet 16%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balsicas Atletico Racing Murcia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Balsicas Atletico vs Racing Murcia
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Balsicas Atletico
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Balsicas Atletico Compare

Top Goalscorer Vivancos J. M. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Farh Benhallou M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Racing Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Patino J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balsicas Atletico 84 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balsicas Atletico Racing Murcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Balsicas Atletico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Racing Murcia registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Balsicas Atletico scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Murcia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Balsicas Atletico VS Racing Murcia
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Balsicas Atletico

(Home)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
Balsicas Atletico
01 May
Balsicas Atletico
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
28 Apr
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 0
Muleno CF
21 Apr
Ciudad de Murcia
1 : 1
Balsicas Atletico
Page 1 of 6

Racing Murcia

(Away)
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1
Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3
Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1
Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4
Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1
Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportiva Minera 34 24 6 4 53:19 78
2 Real Murcia B 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 Ciudad Cieza 34 19 11 4 44:24 68
4 UCAM Murcia B 34 19 5 10 42:24 62
5 Caravaca 34 18 7 9 60:32 61
6 Lorca Deportiva 34 17 8 9 64:30 59
7 Molinense 34 18 5 11 60:34 59
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 13 8 39:23 52
9 Muleno CF 34 12 7 15 37:42 43
10 Racing Murcia 34 11 7 16 36:51 40
11 Plus Ultra 34 12 2 20 43:56 38
12 E.G. El Palmar 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
13 Bullense 34 10 6 18 40:65 36
14 Balsicas Atletico 34 9 9 16 35:53 36
15 Alcantarilla 34 10 6 18 34:41 36
16 Ciudad de Murcia 34 7 9 18 28:43 30
17 CD Algar 34 7 8 19 31:65 29
18 Montecasillas 34 7 2 25 31:90 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)