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Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Mikhaylovskiy R.
58' Event
Usanov A.
68' Event
Khalygov E.

AI Match Summary

Cherepovets in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cherepovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Baltika 2
20%
Draws
34%
Cherepovets
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Baltika 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Baltika 2 have won more games recently than Cherepovets.
  • Baltika 2 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cherepovets here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Baltika 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Cherepovets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika 2 Cherepovets
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.76 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:4
May 31, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Cherepovets vs Baltika 2
1:0
Aug 22, 2007 FNL 2 - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs Cherepovets
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Slavin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cherepovets Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikhaylovskiy R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usanov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 2 59 / 100
Cherepovets 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika 2 Cherepovets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltika 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baltika 2's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cherepovets conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Baltika 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltika 2 VS Cherepovets
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika 2

(Home)
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow 2
2 : 3
Baltika 2
05 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 1
FK Tver
29 Aug
Iskra Smolensk
1 : 1
Baltika 2
23 Aug
Baltika 2
3 : 0
FC Murom
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Cherepovets

(Away)
20 Sept
Baltika 2
1 : 4
Cherepovets
13 Sept
Cherepovets
3 : 2
Yenisey 2
06 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow
2 : 0
Cherepovets
30 Aug
Cherepovets
1 : 2
Kosmos
27 Aug
Luki-Energiya
4 : 1
Cherepovets
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