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Baltika 2 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Safronov G.
42' Event
Safronov G.
75' Event
Babchuk A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

FC Chertanovo Moscow in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Chertanovo Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Baltika 2
11%
Draws
80%
FC Chertanovo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: FC Chertanovo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Chertanovo Moscow haven't matched Baltika 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives FC Chertanovo Moscow a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baltika 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FC Chertanovo Moscow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika 2 FC Chertanovo Moscow
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.63 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:3
Oct 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Baltika 2
1:1
Jul 2, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
3:3
Oct 27, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
Baltika 2 vs FC Chertanovo Moscow
1:3
Jul 7, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow vs Baltika 2
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

FC Chertanovo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Safronov G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rebrov S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 2 10 / 100
FC Chertanovo Moscow 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika 2 FC Chertanovo Moscow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baltika 2 scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

FC Chertanovo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Baltika 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Baltika 2 VS FC Chertanovo Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%