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Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gil B.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Gil B.
45' Event
Ndong O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Baltika
30%
Draws
39%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Baltika at 1.64 per game, Akhmat Grozny at 1.36.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Baltika Clean Sheet 16%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.64 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndong O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadulaev L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 30 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Baltika found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Akhmat Grozny's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Baltika remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS Akhmat Grozny
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika

(Home)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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