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Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Gil B.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Gil B.
45' Event
Ndong O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Baltika
6%
Draws
4%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baltika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Akhmat Grozny haven't matched Baltika's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Baltika taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Baltika Clean Sheet 19%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:1
Feb 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
Baltika vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Club Friendly
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:0
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Baltika
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Gil B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Akhmat Grozny Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndong O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sadulaev L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 85 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika Akhmat Grozny

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Baltika found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Akhmat Grozny's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Baltika remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS Akhmat Grozny
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%