Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Anderson E.
51'
Mourid A.
57' Event
Titkov N.
Assist: Gassama N.

AI Match Summary

Baltika in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Baltika
15%
Draws
42%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baltika

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow have won more games recently than Baltika.
  • Model gives Baltika a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Baltika Clean Sheet 68%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.85
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
1:2
Jul 18, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Baltika
1:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
2:3
Feb 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Baltika
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Titkov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 59 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baltika Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Baltika's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Dynamo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Away concern: Dynamo Moscow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS Dynamo Moscow
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika

(Home)
16 Aug
Baltika
1 : 2
Spartak Moscow
08 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2
Baltika
05 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
Baltika
01 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
24 Jul
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1
Baltika
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
19 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
0 : 1
Krasnodar
16 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg
3 : 0
Dynamo Moscow
09 Aug
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1
Dynamo Makhachkala
05 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
01 Aug
Baltika
2 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 4 4 0 0 9:4 12
2 Zenit St Petersburg 4 3 0 1 12:2 9
3 Spartak Moscow 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 4 3 0 1 9:6 9
5 CSKA Moscow 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
6 Baltika 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
7 Orenburg 4 1 2 1 4:6 5
8 Rubin Kazan 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 FK Rostov 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
10 Dynamo Moscow 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
11 Rodina Moscow 4 1 1 2 7:11 4
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
13 Akhmat Grozny 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
14 Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
15 Akron Togliatti 4 0 2 2 4:10 2
16 Fakel Voronezh 4 0 1 3 3:6 1
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)