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Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
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Match Events

30'
Anderson E.
51'
Mourid A.
57' Event
Titkov N.
Assist: Gassama N.

AI Match Summary

Baltika in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baltika.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Baltika
15%
Draws
67%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow have won more games recently than Baltika.
  • Model gives Dynamo Moscow a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Baltika Clean Sheet 13%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltika Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.64 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
2:1
May 17, 2026 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
1:2
Jul 18, 2025 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Baltika
1:1
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Baltika vs Dynamo Moscow
2:3
Feb 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Dynamo Moscow vs Baltika
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltika Compare

Top Goalscorer Titkov N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dynamo Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Arthur Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltika 11 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltika Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Baltika's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Dynamo Moscow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 26 matches.

Solid form: Baltika remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Baltika VS Dynamo Moscow
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltika

(Home)
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3
Baltika
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
12 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
1 : 0
Orenburg
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)