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Baltyk Koszalin vs Blekitni Stargard - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Krauze A.
Penalty Missed
11' Event
Fadecki W.
90' Event
Fadecki W.

AI Match Summary

Blekitni Stargard in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Blekitni Stargard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baltyk Koszalin
30%
Draws
37%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Blekitni Stargard lately — more wins on the board than Baltyk Koszalin.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 10%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.24 2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Blekitni Stargard
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Blekitni Stargard vs Baltyk Koszalin
4:1
Jun 18, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Blekitni Stargard
3:2
Nov 14, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Baltyk Koszalin
5:1
Feb 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Baltyk Koszalin vs Blekitni Stargard
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Baltyk Koszalin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadecki W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 34 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Blekitni Stargard

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Baltyk Koszalin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Blekitni Stargard's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Baltyk Koszalin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Blekitni Stargard
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

Blekitni Stargard

(Away)
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
26 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
3 : 3
Blekitni Stargard
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4
Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 11 8 3 0 33:16 27
2 Luzino 11 8 1 2 31:13 25
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 10 5 3 2 15:14 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 11 4 2 5 15:20 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 11 4 1 6 28:28 13
13 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
14 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
15 Elana Torun 11 2 4 5 16:22 10
16 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 11 1 5 5 11:23 8
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)