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Baltyk Koszalin vs Elana Torun - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baltyk Koszalin host Elana Torun in the III Liga - Group II. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Elana Torun have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Baltyk Koszalin have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Baltyk Koszalin have won 0 to Elana Torun's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 20, 2021, ending 5:2. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.25) point toward Elana Torun. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Baltyk Koszalin
30%
Draws
37%
Elana Torun
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Elana Torun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Elana Torun haven't matched Baltyk Koszalin's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Baltyk Koszalin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Elana Torun have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Baltyk Koszalin Clean Sheet 19%
Elana Torun Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baltyk Koszalin Elana Torun
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Elana Torun vs Baltyk Koszalin
5:2
Aug 7, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Elana Torun
0:1
Oct 31, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Baltyk Koszalin vs Elana Torun
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baltyk Koszalin 36 / 100
Elana Torun 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baltyk Koszalin Elana Torun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elana Torun let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Baltyk Koszalin scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Baltyk Koszalin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Baltyk Koszalin VS Elana Torun
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Baltyk Koszalin

(Home)
03 Oct
Grom Nowy Staw
1 : 3
Baltyk Koszalin
26 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
3 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
19 Sept
Lipno Steszew
2 : 1
Baltyk Koszalin
12 Sept
Baltyk Koszalin
0 : 2
Blekitni Stargard
05 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
2 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
Page 1 of 6

Elana Torun

(Away)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Elana Torun
3 : 1
Luzino
26 Sept
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 : 2
Elana Torun
19 Sept
Elana Torun
0 : 0
Lech Poznan II
12 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 1
Elana Torun
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 11 5 3 3 27:19 18
5 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
6 KKS Kalisz 11 4 5 2 16:15 17
7 Notec Czarnkow 11 5 1 5 18:15 16
8 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
9 Baltyk Koszalin 11 4 3 4 15:15 15
10 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
11 Unia Swarzedz 11 4 1 6 20:19 13
12 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
13 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
14 Chemik Bydgoszcz 11 2 6 3 17:21 12
15 Gedania Gdansk 11 2 5 4 23:24 11
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 11 3 1 7 18:32 10
18 Lipno Steszew 11 1 2 8 11:23 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)