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Balvu SC vs Rezekne

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1. Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2019 game between Balvu SC and Rezekne finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rezekne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Balvu SC
15%
Draws
85%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rezekne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rezekne come out ahead of Balvu SC on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Rezekne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Rezekne here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Balvu SC Clean Sheet 20%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Balvu SC Rezekne
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 2 8
Draws 0 4
Losses 28 22
Goals Scored 0.87 1.47
Goals Conceded 5.4 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2019 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Balvu SC
5:2
Aug 10, 2019 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Rezekne
0:2
May 11, 2019 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Balvu SC
6:0
Aug 4, 2018 1. Liga
Balvu SC vs Rezekne
1:14
Apr 21, 2018 1. Liga
Rezekne vs Balvu SC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Balvu SC 20 / 100
Rezekne 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Balvu SC Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rezekne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rezekne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 7.20 goals.

Balvu SC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Rezekne lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Balvu SC

(Home)
10 Nov
Balvu SC
0 : 2
Super Nova
02 Nov
Dinamo Riga
7 : 1
Balvu SC
26 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 4
FK Smiltene
19 Oct
Rezekne
5 : 2
Balvu SC
12 Oct
Balvu SC
1 : 2
New Project
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Rezekne

(Away)
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
08 Aug
Skanste
5 : 1
Rezekne
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tukums 2000 27 24 2 1 112:14 74
2 Super Nova 27 19 1 7 95:27 58
3 FK Smiltene 27 17 2 8 78:52 53
4 Alberts JDFS 27 16 3 8 70:47 51
5 FK Auda Riga 27 14 3 10 62:51 45
6 Rezekne 27 13 4 10 72:56 43
7 Grobina 27 10 0 17 56:104 30
8 New Project 27 6 2 19 35:62 20
9 Dinamo Riga 27 6 1 20 39:78 19
10 Balvu SC 27 1 0 26 23:151 3
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