Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banbury vs St Ives Town

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Ferguson C.
80' Event
Richens M.
85' Event
Jones N.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier Central game between Banbury and St Ives Town finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Banbury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Banbury
44%
Draws
20%
St Ives Town
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Banbury carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Banbury Clean Sheet 15%
St Ives Town Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banbury St Ives Town
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs St Ives Town
2:1
Nov 10, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Banbury
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Banbury vs St Ives Town
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Banbury
2:1
Dec 4, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
St Ives Town vs Banbury
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banbury Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferguson C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

St Ives Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Richens M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banbury 35 / 100
St Ives Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banbury St Ives Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IVE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Ives Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Banbury found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Banbury went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Banbury VS St Ives Town
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harborough422811381:3395
2Spalding United4225107103:5485
3Real Bedford42249984:4781
4Kettering422191274:5272
5Halesowen4220101285:6070
6Needham Market4220101264:5370
7Redditch422171467:5870
8Quorn421981578:7165
9Worcester4217121364:4463
10Leiston4216151165:5863
11Stratford4217101561:5461
12Banbury421791651:5660
13Bury Town4215131461:5358
14Alvechurch421482049:5550
15Stourbridge4212141658:6850
16Stortford4213101953:6749
17Stamford421382141:6447
18Bromsgrove421282252:7344
19St Ives Town429122150:7339
20Barwell42982552:8535
21Royston Town425102735:8225
22Sudbury42672947:11525