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Bandari vs Nairobi United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Bandari Logo

Bandari

1 - 1
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Nairobi United Logo

Nairobi United

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Match Events

23' Event
23' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Bandari
20%
Draws
46%
Nairobi United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Bandari have won more games recently than Nairobi United.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Bandari Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 22%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bandari Nairobi United
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.04 1.12
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Bandari vs Nairobi United
1:1
Nov 4, 2025 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Bandari
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bandari 41 / 100
Nairobi United 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bandari Nairobi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bandari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bandari's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nairobi United conceded in 68% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Bandari has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bandari VS Nairobi United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bandari

(Home)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Mathare United
1 : 0
Bandari
24 May
Bandari
1 : 0
Tusker
20 May
Bandari
0 : 2
APS Bomet
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
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Nairobi United

(Away)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 64
3 Police FC 34 13 16 5 31:21 55
4 Nairobi United 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
5 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 52
6 Kakamega Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 48
8 Muranga 34 13 8 13 42:41 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 45
10 APS Bomet 34 11 11 12 37:35 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 44
12 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 44
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 34:37 41
14 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 41
15 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)