Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banga vs FA Siauliai

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banga host FA Siauliai in the TOPLYGA. This one's hard to separate. FA Siauliai have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while Banga have conceded 0.93 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Banga slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.81 - 1.13) back Banga to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Banga
30%
Draws
12%
FA Siauliai
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Banga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga have won more games recently than FA Siauliai.
  • Banga are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Banga Clean Sheet 20%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga FA Siauliai
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Banga
1:3
May 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Banga
0:0
Jan 23, 2026 Club Friendly
FA Siauliai vs Banga
1:4
Oct 22, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Banga
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 58 / 100
FA Siauliai 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga FA Siauliai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

FA Siauliai let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Banga has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Banga VS FA Siauliai
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Banga

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FA Siauliai

(Away)
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 27 13 10 4 38:24 49
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 27 13 9 5 54:20 48
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 28 4 13 11 30:47 25
9 FA Siauliai 28 3 8 17 24:56 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)