Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Venckus I.
Assist: Olugbogi A.
17' Event
Sato M.
Assist: Olugbogi A.
24'
Sub
Levsinas A. In: Antuzis V.
Out: Levsinas A.

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between Banga and FK Kauno Zalgiris finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Banga
20%
Draws
56%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kauno Zalgiris come out ahead of Banga on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Banga Clean Sheet 20%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.43 1.58
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:0
Jun 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
0:1
May 1, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
2:2
Feb 28, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs Banga
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Venckus I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sato M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tolordava A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Banga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: FK Kauno Zalgiris conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Banga VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Banga

(Home)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)