Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Banga vs Suduva

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banga play Suduva in the TOPLYGA. It looks like a close match. Recently, Banga averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. Suduva averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Banga won 1, Suduva won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 13, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Banga and 1.13 for Suduva. This points to a Suduva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Banga
31%
Draws
36%
Suduva
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Suduva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga picked up more points recently compared to Suduva.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Banga Clean Sheet 21%
Suduva Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga Suduva
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Banga
0:0
Apr 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Suduva
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Suduva
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 TOPLYGA
Suduva vs Banga
2:1
May 11, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Suduva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdusauskas V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Suduva Compare

Top Goalscorer Haydary O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 34 / 100
Suduva 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga Suduva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Suduva or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15%
2.50
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Banga attacking → ← attacking Suduva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Suduva let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Banga went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Suduva lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 50
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Suduva1979321:1630
2Dziugas Telsiai1986528:2230
3Transinvest1885527:2229
4FK Kauno Zalgiris1877431:1528
5Zalgiris1984727:2128
6Banga1876519:1327
7FC Hegelmann19310620:2919
8FK Panevezys19541018:3419
9FA Siauliai19271018:3713
10Riteriai00000:00