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Banga vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Gargzdai stadium, Gargzdai
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Banga host Zalgiris in the TOPLYGA. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Banga have averaged 1.41 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against Zalgiris's 1.63 scored and 1.4 conceded. Head-to-head, Banga have won 2 to Zalgiris's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 2.00, favoring Banga. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Banga
30%
Draws
47%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zalgiris a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular TOPLYGA form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Banga Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Banga Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
2:3
Jun 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 TOPLYGA
Banga vs Zalgiris
0:2
Jul 4, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs Banga
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Banga 22 / 100
Zalgiris 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Banga Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Banga scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Zalgiris conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Banga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Banga VS Zalgiris
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Banga

(Home)
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
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Zalgiris

(Away)
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
Suduva
0 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 27 13 10 4 38:24 49
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 27 13 9 5 54:20 48
3 Zalgiris 27 13 5 9 41:31 44
4 Transinvest 27 12 6 9 40:35 42
5 Dziugas Telsiai 27 10 8 9 36:38 38
6 Banga 27 10 8 9 30:28 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 28 4 13 11 30:47 25
9 FA Siauliai 28 3 8 17 24:56 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)